October 15, 2024
1 Solar System Way, Planet Earth, USA
Crypto

Maximize Bitcoin Profits with ETF Data

Maximize Bitcoin Profits with ETF Data

Since the introduction of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in early 2024, Bitcoin has reached new all-time highs, with several months of double-digit gains. However, as impressive as this performance is, there is a way to significantly outperform Bitcoin's returns by using ETF data to guide your trading decisions.

Bitcoin ETF and its influence

Bitcoin ETFs, launched in January 2024, have rapidly accumulated large amounts of Bitcoin. These ETFs, followed by several funds, allow institutional and retail investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without owning it directly. These ETFs have accumulated billions of dollars in BTCand tracking this cumulative flow is essential for monitoring institutional activity in Bitcoin markets, helping us assess whether institutional actors are buying or selling.

Figure 1: Cumulative flows (USD) of the BTC ETF have exceeded $18.5 billion.View live chart 🔍

BTC-denominated ETF daily inflows indicate that large-scale investors are accumulating Bitcoin, while daily exits suggest that they are exiting positions during that trading period. For those looking to outperform Bitcoin's already strong performance in 2024, this ETF's data offers a strategic entry and exit point for Bitcoin trading.

Figure 2: BTC ETF daily flows (BTC) show a regular accumulation of over 10,000 BTC per day.View live chart 🔍

A simple strategy based on ETF data

The strategy is relatively simple: buy Bitcoin when ETF inflows are positive (green bars) and sell when outflows occur (red bars). Surprisingly, this method allows you to get better results even during Bitcoin bullish periods.

This strategy, although simple, has consistently outperformed the broader Bitcoin market by capturing price momentum at the right times and avoiding potential declines by following institutional trends.

Figure 3: Each operation following this institutional entry/exit strategy.

The power of capitalization

The real secret of this strategy lies in capitalization. Compounding earnings over time significantly increases your returns, even during periods of consolidation or lower volatility. Imagine starting with $100 of capital. If your first trade produces a 10% return, you now have $110. On the next trade, another 10% profit on $110 brings your total to $121. By compounding these wins over time, even modest wins add up to significant wins. Losses are inevitable, but the cumulative gains far outweigh the occasional declines.

Since the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, this strategy has provided returns of over 100% during a period where holding BTC alone has returned approximately 37%, or even compared to buying Bitcoin on launch day. ETF and sell it exactly at the all-time high. , which would have returned approximately 59%.

Figure 4: Compound gains of over 100% since ETF launch following this strategy.

Can we expect more benefits?

Recently, we have begun to see a sustained trend of positive ETF inflowssuggesting that institutions are once again accumulating a lot of Bitcoin. Since September 19, there have been positive inflows every day which, as we can see, have often preceded price increases. BlackRock and its IBIT ETF alone have accumulated more than 379,000 BTC since their inception.

Figure 5: BlackRock alone has accumulated more than 379,000 BTC in just a few months.View live chart 🔍

Conclusion

Market conditions can change and there will inevitably be periods of volatility. However, the consistent historical correlation between ETF inflows and Bitcoin price increases makes this a valuable tool for those looking to maximize their Bitcoin profits. If you're looking for a low-effort, set-it-and-forget-it approach, buy-and-hold may still be suitable. However, if you want to try to actively increase your returns by leveraging institutional data, tracking Bitcoin ETF inflows and outflows could be a game-changer.

For a more in-depth look at this topic, watch a recent YouTube video here: Using ETF Data to Outperform Bitcoin (Must Watch)

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